18:40 Ballinrobe tips
Handicap Chase2m1fyielding16 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Stoneyford Lady just shades it from Custers Mistake on coming back at its right interval.
Handicap Chase over 2m1f on yielding going. Stoneyford Lady and Custers Mistake separate by very little. We have enough recent form to rate all 16 declared.
How we rate the field
1
Stoneyford Lady
Danny Power / Henry De Bromhead
9/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 25% drop.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)
2
Custers Mistake
Calum Hogan / Peter McCreery
21/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 38% drop.
- Back after 401 days, well beyond its usual 109-day gap.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
3
Sayitfirst
Michael Kenneally / Darren Collins
11/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 66% drop.
- 3 runs here on course without making the frame.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)