13:40 Bangor-On-Dee tips
Novice Hurdleclass 42m3½fgood5 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Iamyouare is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on the way its price has been shortening.
Novice Hurdle over 2m3½f on good going. Iamyouare rates clear of the rest on our signals. We have enough recent form to rate all 5 declared.
How we rate the field
1
Iamyouare
Harry Brown / Donald McCain
15/4
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 22% drop.
- Rated 2nd of 5 on published form ratings.
- Carries 21lb less than last time.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Hoe Joly Smoke
Harry Skelton / Dan Skelton
1.4/1
- Price drops have been easing off across its last 5 runs, down to a 78% average.
- Top of the published form ratings in this field of 5 rated.
- Back after 114 days, well beyond its usual 40-day gap.
under 2/1: 44.5% win, 68.7% frame (865 tracked)
3
Whinny Houston
Sean Houlihan / Sheila Lewis
101/1
- Averages a 65% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Rated 5th of 5 on published form ratings.
- Quick turnaround at 16 days against its usual 216.
- Carries 14lb less than last time.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.