14:50 Bangor-On-Dee tips
Handicap Chaseclass 23mgood6 runners
What we lean towardspreferred
Thickthorn Tom is our pick, though Regal Renaissance is not far behind. It edges it on its standing on published form ratings.
Handicap Chase over 3m on good going. Thickthorn Tom heads our ratings. We have enough recent form to rate all 6 declared.
How we rate the field
1
Thickthorn Tom
Harry Skelton / Dan Skelton
2.6/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 75% drop.
- Top of the published form ratings in this field of 6 rated.
- Quick turnaround at 8 days against its usual 21.
- Carries 16lb less than last time.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Regal Renaissance
Ben Jones / Jack Jones
7/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 74% drop.
- Rated 3rd of 6 on published form ratings.
- Carries 13lb less than last time.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
3
Tamarind Bay
James Bowen / Mickey Bowen
11/4
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 26% drop.
- Rated 2nd of 6 on published form ratings.
- Quick turnaround at 20 days against its usual 53.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)