15:12 Carlisle tips
Maidenclass 31m3fgood to soft12 runners
What we lean towardspreferred
Blue Hercules is our pick, though Lord Byron is not far behind. It edges it on the size of its price drops.
Maiden over 1m3f on good to soft going. Blue Hercules heads our ratings. We rate 8 of the 12 declared; the other 4 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Blue Hercules
Daniel Tudhope / William Muir & Chris Grassick
5/1
- Steady 67% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
2
Lord Byron
Tom Eaves / Faye Bramley
3/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 49% drop.
- Back after 131 days, well beyond its usual 26-day gap.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
3
Impierious
Cieren Fallon / Tom Clover
8/1
- Its price has drifted across its last 3, averaging 23% out, though the drift has been easing each run.
- Carries 17lb less off a 2lb lower mark.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)
Not rated: Casement Park, Chico Dorado, Lazy In Red, Wadacre Icon — too little recent form to judge.