12:38 Carlisle tips
Novice Hcap Chaseclass 32m5fgood6 runners
What we lean towardspreferred
Kahavari is our pick, though Walking On A Dream is not far behind. It edges it on the way its price has been shortening.
Novice Hcap Chase over 2m5f on good going. Kahavari heads our ratings. We have enough recent form to rate all 6 declared.
How we rate the field
1
Kahavari
Brian Hughes / Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
26/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 48% drop.
- Quick turnaround at 1 days against its usual 56.
- Carries 5lb less than last time.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
2
Walking On A Dream
Jack Power / Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore
15/4
- Steady 51% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
- Back after 193 days, well beyond its usual 91-day gap.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
3
Were Red And Blue
Jonjo O´Neill Jr / Jonjo & A J O´Neill
4/1
- Steady 55% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
- Back after 187 days, well beyond its usual 34-day gap.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)