17:45 Chelmsford City tips
Novice Stakesclass 47fstandard5 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Missmisfortune is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on the size of its price drops.
Novice Stakes over 7f on standard going. Missmisfortune rates clear of the rest on our signals. We rate 3 of the 5 declared; the other 2 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Missmisfortune
Rossa Ryan / Charlie Pike
11/4
- Averages a 66% price drop, though on limited recent form.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Baandee
George Wood / Jack Morland
1.8/1
- Price drops have been easing off across its last 3 runs, down to a 39% average.
- Placed 3 times from 3 runs here on course and going without winning.
- Back after 189 days, well beyond its usual 74-day gap.
under 2/1: 44.5% win, 68.7% frame (865 tracked)
3
Intsaar
Remie Morgan / Archie Watson
15/1
- Averages 100% price drift, though on limited recent form.
- Quick turnaround at 22 days against its usual 146.
12/1 to 20/1: 5.0% win, 18.9% frame (893 tracked)
Not rated: Tilsworth Boe, Two Steps Twice — too little recent form to judge.