13:45 Cheltenham tips
Novice Hurdleclass 23mgood to soft6 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Road To Wembley is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on its standing on published form ratings.
Novice Hurdle over 3m on good to soft going. Road To Wembley rates clear of the rest on our signals. We rate 4 of the 6 declared; the other 2 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Road To Wembley
Sean Bowen / Olly Murphy
11/4
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 54% drop.
- Quick turnaround at 29 days against its usual 73.
- Carries 6lb less off a 1lb lower mark.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Kashchei
Carl Millar / Cian Collins
3/1
- Steady 55% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
3
Captain Connor
Brendan Powell / Clare Ellam
201/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 43% drop.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
Not rated: Landsborough, Woodstock Octo — too little recent form to judge.