14:37 Chepstow tips
Novice Hurdleclass 32mgood to soft6 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Lion Rose Sivola is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on the size of its price drops.
Novice Hurdle over 2m on good to soft going. Lion Rose Sivola rates clear of the rest on our signals. We rate 3 of the 6 declared; the other 3 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Lion Rose Sivola
Jonjo O´Neill Jr / Jonjo & A J O´Neill
2.6/1
- Averages a 89% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Back after 240 days, well beyond its usual 100-day gap.
- Carries 7lb less than last time.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Mwabani
Ciaran Gethings / Jane Williams
15/4
- Averages a 9% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Back after 203 days, well beyond its usual 59-day gap.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
3
Gili Island
Charlie Todd / Dan Skelton
21/1
- Averages a 25% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Back after 166 days, well beyond its usual 69-day gap.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
Not rated: On Subs, One Cool Kid, Skibidirizz — too little recent form to judge.