14:12 Downpatrick tips
Maiden2m2fgood9 runners
What we lean towardspreferred
Cap Bernat is our pick, though Nelliestar is not far behind. It edges it on the size of its price drops.
Maiden over 2m2f on good going. Cap Bernat heads our ratings. We rate 6 of the 9 declared; the other 3 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Cap Bernat
Danny Mullins / Robin McNeilly
15/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 63% drop.
- Rated 4th of 9 on published form ratings.
- Placed 1 time from 3 runs here on course and going without winning.
- Back after 442 days, well beyond its usual 121-day gap.
12/1 to 20/1: 5.0% win, 18.9% frame (893 tracked)
2
Nelliestar
Paddy Cleary / Thomas Patrick McGettigan
101/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 60% drop.
- Rated 8th of 9 on published form ratings.
- Quick turnaround at 12 days against its usual 40.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
3
Mr Caulfield
Conor Stone-Walsh / Noel C Kelly
13/4
- Averages a -96% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Rated 2nd of 9 on published form ratings.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
Not rated: Fairy Meadow, Fox Walk, Tullynakill — too little recent form to judge.