14:47 Downpatrick tips
Handicap Hurdle2m2fgood12 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. John Dixen just shades it from Pahlavi on the way its price has been shortening.
Handicap Hurdle over 2m2f on good going. John Dixen and Pahlavi separate by very little. We have enough recent form to rate all 12 declared.
How we rate the field
1
John Dixen
Conor Clarke / P J Rothwell
21/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 53% drop.
- Rated 11th of 12 on published form ratings.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
2
Pahlavi
Harry Sexton / John Joseph Hanlon
15/1
- Price drops have been easing off across its last 5 runs, down to a 37% average.
- Top of the published form ratings in this field of 12 rated.
12/1 to 20/1: 5.0% win, 18.9% frame (893 tracked)
3
He Who Dares
Phillip Enright / S Curling
15/4
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 7% drop.
- Rated 4th of 12 on published form ratings.
- Quick turnaround at 25 days against its usual 67.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)