15:10 Fontwell tips
Handicap Chaseclass 53m2fgood to soft6 runners
What we lean towardspreferred
Sweet Nightingale is our pick, though Ted The Thief is not far behind. It edges it on its record over this course and ground.
Handicap Chase over 3m2f on good to soft going. Sweet Nightingale heads our ratings. We have enough recent form to rate all 6 declared.
How we rate the field
1
Sweet Nightingale
Tristan Durrell / Polly Gundry
8/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 30% drop.
- Back after 181 days, well beyond its usual 30-day gap.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)
2
Ted The Thief
Harry Kimber / Robert Walford
3/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 23% drop.
- 2 runs here on course and going without making the frame.
- Back after 245 days, well beyond its usual 26-day gap.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
3
Hard Stare
Jonathan Burke / Anthony Honeyball
2.9/1
- Price drops have been easing off across its last 5 runs, down to a 12% average.
- Placed 1 time from 2 runs here on course without winning.
- Quick turnaround at 4 days against its usual 72.
- Carries 13lb less than last time.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)