13:45 Galway tips
Maiden2m½fgty20 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Suresuresure just shades it from Young Rebel, but there is very little in it.
Maiden over 2m½f on gty going. Suresuresure and Young Rebel separate by very little. We rate 9 of the 20 declared; the other 11 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Suresuresure
J J Slevin / John F O´Neill
67/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 51% drop.
- Quick turnaround at 16 days against its usual 59.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
2
Young Rebel
Mark Walsh / Emmet Mullins
3/2
- Averages a 100% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Quick turnaround at 66 days against its usual 244.
under 2/1: 44.5% win, 68.7% frame (865 tracked)
3
Carrig Padraig
Ben Harvey / Gavin Cromwell
21/1
- Steady 52% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
- Quick turnaround at 17 days against its usual 78.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
Not rated: Blues Street, Bog Cross, Galway Star, Leva Eagle, Lil Soldier, Mister Class, Muchluain, Mystic Bridge, N Kelleher, No Loose Ends, Passive Idaho, Storm Bresie, The Yellow Capri — too little recent form to judge.