13:45 Hereford tips
Maidenclass 42mgtf5 runners
What we lean towardspreferred
Blue Topaz is our pick, though Esther Spring is not far behind. It edges it on its standing on published form ratings.
Maiden over 2m on gtf going. Blue Topaz heads our ratings. We rate 4 of the 5 declared; the other 1 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Blue Topaz
Jack Hogan / Fergal O´Brien
2.2/1
- Steady 39% average price drop over its last 4 runs.
- Quick turnaround at 29 days against its usual 104.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Esther Spring
Adam Wedge / Christian Williams
8/1
- Steady 61% average price drop over its last 4 runs.
- Quick turnaround at 7 days against its usual 51.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)
3
Upton Fern
Shane Fenelon / Debra Hamer
21/1
- Averages a 85% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Back after 81 days, well beyond its usual 24-day gap.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
Not rated: Vajra — too little recent form to judge.