16:55 Kelso tips
Novice Hurdleclass 42m5fgtf3 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Hoe Joly Smoke is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on its standing on published form ratings.
Novice Hurdle over 2m5f on gtf going. Hoe Joly Smoke rates clear of the rest on our signals. We have enough recent form to rate all 3 declared.
How we rate the field
1
Hoe Joly Smoke
Harry Skelton / Dan Skelton
1.6/1
- Price drops have been easing off across its last 5 runs, down to a 71% average.
- Quick turnaround at 12 days against its usual 58.
under 2/1: 44.5% win, 68.7% frame (865 tracked)
2
Handmedownastar
Sean Bowen / Nick Scholfield
3/1
- Price drops have been easing off across its last 3 runs, down to a 70% average.
- Quick turnaround at 16 days against its usual 56.
- Carries 7lb less off a 1lb lower mark.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
3
Hopeless Dancer
Harry Reed / Tim Reed
9/1
- Steady 48% average price drop over its last 4 runs.
- Back after 287 days, well beyond its usual 19-day gap.
- Carries 10lb less than last time.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)