12:20 Kelso tips
Novice Hurdleclass 42m6½fgood5 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Theyre Chancers is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on the size of its price drops.
Novice Hurdle over 2m6½f on good going. Theyre Chancers rates clear of the rest on our signals. We rate 4 of the 5 declared; the other 1 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Theyre Chancers
Danny McMenamin / Nicky Richards
2.9/1
- Averages a 100% price drop, though on limited recent form.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Whiskey On Ice
Dominic Hislop / N W Alexander
4/1
- Steady 45% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
- Back after 249 days, well beyond its usual 58-day gap.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
3
Blazing Court
Mr John Dixon / John Dixon
67/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 20% drop.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
Not rated: Gentle Ocean — too little recent form to judge.