18:30 Kempton tips
Novice Stakesclass 46fstandard to slow12 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Sierra Belle is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on the size of its price drops.
Novice Stakes over 6f on standard to slow going. Sierra Belle rates clear of the rest on our signals. We rate 5 of the 12 declared; the other 7 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Sierra Belle
Rossa Ryan / Ralph Beckett
2.9/1
- Averages a 78% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Top of the published form ratings in this field of 12 rated.
- Back after 39 days, well beyond its usual 15-day gap.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Spirit Of Progress
Stevie Donohoe / Daisy Hitchins
101/1
- Averages a 77% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Rated 10th of 12 on published form ratings.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
3
Asgar
Hector Crouch / Clive Cox
6/1
- Averages a -100% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Rated 2nd of 12 on published form ratings.
- Back after 87 days, well beyond its usual 23-day gap.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
Not rated: Agent Rose, Al Widyan, Blue Victory, Coatimundi, Farasan, I Am Royal, Love Always — too little recent form to judge.