19:00 Kempton tips
Novice Stakesclass 31m3fstandard to slow6 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Shadow Road is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on its record over this course and ground.
Novice Stakes over 1m3f on standard to slow going. Shadow Road rates clear of the rest on our signals. We rate 4 of the 6 declared; the other 2 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Shadow Road
David Egan / John Butler
9/2
- Rated 2nd of 6 on published form ratings.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Brave Hunter
Billy Loughnane / Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos
11/1
- Steady 23% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
- Rated 3rd of 6 on published form ratings.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)
3
No Ordinary Joe
David Probert / Robert Stephens
201/1
- Steady 44% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
- Rated 4th of 6 on published form ratings.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
Not rated: Fortitudine, Roxy Power — too little recent form to judge.