17:54 Kempton tips
Novice Stakesclass 41mstandard to slow12 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Peaberry is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on the size of its price drops.
Novice Stakes over 1m on standard to slow going. Peaberry rates clear of the rest on our signals. We rate 3 of the 12 declared; the other 9 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Peaberry
Sean Levey / Tom Ward
6/1
- Averages a 60% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Rated 3rd of 12 on published form ratings.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
2
Lunar Blossom
Marco Ghiani / William Knight
9/1
- Averages a -12% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Rated 4th of 12 on published form ratings.
- Carries 6lb less than last time.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)
3
Arlecchinos Moon
Jason Watson / Mark Usher
51/1
- Averages a -100% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Rated 7th of 12 on published form ratings.
- Quick turnaround at 17 days against its usual 50.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
Not rated: Celtic Storm, Huwa Baree, Kiril, Phantom Knight, Rock Show, Rogue Crusader, Shorien, Tarn Hows, Tojoannie — too little recent form to judge.