17:30 Kempton tips
Maidenclass 41mstandard to slow12 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Sea Brave is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on its record over this course and ground.
Maiden over 1m on standard to slow going. Sea Brave rates clear of the rest on our signals. We rate 8 of the 12 declared; the other 4 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Sea Brave
Finley Marsh / Richard Hughes
15/4
- Averages a 88% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Quick turnaround at 14 days against its usual 251.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Barachiel
Luke Morris / Robert Stephens
51/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 4, averaging a 53% drop.
- 2 runs here on course without making the frame.
- Quick turnaround at 35 days against its usual 127.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
3
Venetian Sky
Tom Marquand / William Haggas
13/4
- Price drops have been easing off across its last 5 runs, down to a 28% average.
- Carries 5lb less than last time.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
Not rated: Emerald Spirit, Mercantile, Secret Message, Ze Gucci Poochie — too little recent form to judge.