19:30 Kempton tips
Conditions Stakesclass 26fstandard to slow6 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Wise Approach just shades it from Mitbaahy on its standing on published form ratings.
Conditions Stakes over 6f on standard to slow going. Wise Approach and Mitbaahy separate by very little. We have enough recent form to rate all 6 declared.
How we rate the field
1
Wise Approach
William Buick / Charlie Appleby
11/4
- Price drops have been easing off across its last 5 runs, down to a 52% average.
- Quick turnaround at 18 days against its usual 84.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Mitbaahy
Tom Marquand / Charles Hills
17/2
- Steady 47% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
- Quick turnaround at 60 days against its usual 149.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)
3
Heathcliff
Daniel Muscutt / James Fanshawe
26/1
- Steady 57% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
- Placed 3 times from 3 runs here on course and going without winning.
- Back after 95 days, well beyond its usual 26-day gap.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.