14:06 Leicester tips
Novice Stakesclass 45fgtf5 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Havana Flash is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on its standing on published form ratings.
Novice Stakes over 5f on gtf going. Havana Flash rates clear of the rest on our signals. We rate 3 of the 5 declared; the other 2 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Havana Flash
Billy Loughnane / George Boughey
3/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 3, averaging a 32% drop.
- Quick turnaround at 17 days against its usual 35.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Paphos
Zak Wheatley / Declan Carroll
5/1
- Averages a 29% price drop, though on limited recent form.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
3
Cracking Toast
William Cox / Gary Hanmer
101/1
- Averages a 36% price drop, though on limited recent form.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
Not rated: Time Teller, Woodvale — too little recent form to judge.