19:10 Navan tips
Other Handicap1mgood18 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Halon Bay just shades it from Hygge on the way its price has been shortening.
Other Handicap over 1m on good going. Halon Bay and Hygge separate by very little. We have enough recent form to rate all 18 declared.
How we rate the field
1
Halon Bay
Ben Coen / Ciaran Murphy
26/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 3, averaging a 55% drop.
- Rated 5th of 18 on published form ratings.
- Back after 75 days, well beyond its usual 27-day gap.
- Carries 9lb less off a 3lb lower mark.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
2
Hygge
Declan McDonogh / Gordon Elliott
11/1
- Steady 55% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
- Rated 5th of 18 on published form ratings.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)
3
Harana
Chris Hayes / D K Weld
11/1
- Steady 65% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
- Rated 3rd of 18 on published form ratings.
- Quick turnaround at 39 days against its usual 93.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)