13:30 Navan tips
Maiden6fgood15 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Belle Island just shades it from Magna Fortuna on the way its price has been shortening.
Maiden over 6f on good going. Belle Island and Magna Fortuna separate by very little. We rate 6 of the 15 declared; the other 9 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Belle Island
Donagh O´Connor / Robson De Aguiar
9/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 9% drop.
- Rated 6th of 15 on published form ratings.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)
2
Magna Fortuna
Nathan Crosse / P F McEnery
67/1
- Averages a 86% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Rated 8th of 15 on published form ratings.
- Back after 67 days, well beyond its usual 18-day gap.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
3
Lucys Promise
Declan McDonogh / Adrian McGuinness
13/2
- Price drops have been easing off across its last 5 runs, down to a 69% average.
- Rated 2nd of 15 on published form ratings.
- Placed 1 time from 2 runs here on course and going without winning.
- Carries 5lb less off a 4lb lower mark.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
Not rated: Destiny Calls, Ladys Court, Marcescence, Mirissa Beach, Moyanna Castle, My Girl Georgia, Red Lily, Somethingaboutlove, Your A Daisy — too little recent form to judge.