14:45 Newcastle tips
Novice Stakesclass 46fstandard11 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Yordan is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on the size of its price drops.
Novice Stakes over 6f on standard going. Yordan rates clear of the rest on our signals. We rate 9 of the 11 declared; the other 2 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Yordan
Harry Vigors / Kevin Ryan
1.9/1
- Averages a 97% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Top of the published form ratings in this field of 11 rated.
under 2/1: 44.5% win, 68.7% frame (865 tracked)
2
Brash
Joanna Mason / David & Nicola Barron
9/2
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a -28% drop.
- Rated 2nd of 11 on published form ratings.
- Back after 32 days, well beyond its usual 15-day gap.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
3
Ennoble
Harry Russell / Antony Brittain
8/1
- Steady -21% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
- Rated 3rd of 11 on published form ratings.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)
Not rated: Miss Tino, Triple P — too little recent form to judge.