16:15 Newcastle tips
Other Handicapclass 51mstandard11 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Harry The Rogue just shades it from Bowood on the way its price has been shortening.
Other Handicap over 1m on standard going. Harry The Rogue and Bowood separate by very little. We have enough recent form to rate all 11 declared.
How we rate the field
1
Harry The Rogue
Conor Whiteley / Stephen Hanlon
26/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 13% drop.
- Rated 7th of 11 on published form ratings.
- Placed 1 time from 2 runs here on course without winning.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
2
Bowood
Elle-May Croot / Ivan Furtado
13/1
- Steady 47% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
- Rated 5th of 11 on published form ratings.
- Has won 1 of 3 here on course and going.
12/1 to 20/1: 5.0% win, 18.9% frame (893 tracked)
3
Bee Farmer
P J McDonald / Edward Bethell
11/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 4, averaging a 14% drop.
- Rated 10th of 11 on published form ratings.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)