14:52 Newcastle tips
Novice Stakesclass 31m2fstandard4 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Quiet Summer is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on the size of its price drops.
Novice Stakes over 1m2f on standard going. Quiet Summer rates clear of the rest on our signals. We rate 3 of the 4 declared; the other 1 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Quiet Summer
Daniel Muscutt / Andrew Balding
2.1/1
- Averages a 50% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Top of the published form ratings in this field of 4 rated.
- Quick turnaround at 15 days against its usual 116.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Interstate
Robert Havlin / John & Thady Gosden
1000/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 3, averaging a -31% drop.
- Rated 2nd of 4 on published form ratings.
- Quick turnaround at 28 days against its usual 99.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
3
Treble Bass
Sean D Bowen / Roger Varian
9/1
- Averages a -100% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Rated 3rd of 4 on published form ratings.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)
Not rated: Brittunculi — too little recent form to judge.