15:59 Newcastle tips
Novice Stakesclass 45fstandard8 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Mussab is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on the size of its price drops.
Novice Stakes over 5f on standard going. Mussab rates clear of the rest on our signals. We rate 4 of the 8 declared; the other 4 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Mussab
Oisin Orr / Richard & Peter Fahey
3/2
- Averages a 79% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Top of the published form ratings in this field of 8 rated.
- Quick turnaround at 13 days against its usual 45.
under 2/1: 44.5% win, 68.7% frame (865 tracked)
2
What A Girl Wants
Rowan Scott / Nigel Tinkler
7/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a -36% drop.
- Rated 2nd of 8 on published form ratings.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
3
Taj Mahal Palace
Connor Beasley / Brian Ellison
34/1
- Averages a -100% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Rated 3rd of 8 on published form ratings.
- Back after 19 days, well beyond its usual 3-day gap.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
Not rated: Aeternitas, Caelum, Cyberspace, One More Tilda — too little recent form to judge.