18:15 Newcastle tips
Novice Stakesclass 47fstandard13 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Arenite is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on the size of its price drops.
Novice Stakes over 7f on standard going. Arenite rates clear of the rest on our signals. We rate 3 of the 13 declared; the other 10 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Arenite
Sean Kirrane / Michael Dods
4/1
- Averages a 76% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Quick turnaround at 25 days against its usual 52.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Top Cote
Andrew Mullen / Jack Morland
5/1
- Price drops have been easing off across its last 3 runs, down to a 51% average.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
3
Seadreamin
Cam Hardie / Richard & Peter Fahey
21/1
- Averages 100% price drift, though on limited recent form.
- Quick turnaround at 10 days against its usual 24.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
Not rated: Alberich, Binksy Boy, Comeonfeelthenoise, Dreamed, Hidden Army, Lions Den, Pushing The Limits, Showcasing Glory, So Farhh, Veloxian — too little recent form to judge.