18:00 Newcastle tips
Nurseryclass 45fstandard7 runners
What we lean towardspreferred
Havana Lightning is our pick, though Eleven Eighty Two is not far behind. It edges it on the way its price has been shortening.
Nursery over 5f on standard going. Havana Lightning heads our ratings. We have enough recent form to rate all 7 declared.
How we rate the field
1
Havana Lightning
Billy Loughnane / George Boughey
5/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 3, averaging a 26% drop.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
2
Eleven Eighty Two
Andrew Mullen / Ben Haslam
8/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 4, averaging a 61% drop.
- Carries 11lb less off a 2lb lower mark.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)
3
Kentucky Rain
Rowan Scott / Lemos De Souza
6/1
- Price drops have been easing off across its last 3 runs, down to a 71% average.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)