17:45 Newcastle tips
Novice Stakesclass 41mstandard6 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Lazy In Red just shades it from Star Mirage on coming back at its right interval.
Novice Stakes over 1m on standard going. Lazy In Red and Star Mirage separate by very little. We rate 3 of the 6 declared; the other 3 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Lazy In Red
Greg Fairley / Donald Whillans
201/1
- Averages a 61% price drop, though on limited recent form.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
2
Star Mirage
Daniel Tudhope / Hamad Al Jehani
9/2
- Price drops have been easing off across its last 3 runs, down to a 57% average.
- Quick turnaround at 28 days against its usual 118.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
3
Maneuver
Robert Havlin / John & Thady Gosden
4/1
- Averages a 0% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Back after 392 days, well beyond its usual 23-day gap.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
Not rated: Always Sunny, Noozhaa, Walk In Provence — too little recent form to judge.