16:28 Newcastle tips
Novice Stakesclass 31m2fstandard7 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Macs Max is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on the size of its price drops.
Novice Stakes over 1m2f on standard going. Macs Max rates clear of the rest on our signals. We rate 3 of the 7 declared; the other 4 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Macs Max
Andrew Mullen / Ben Haslam
34/1
- Averages a 66% price drop, though on limited recent form.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
2
Petworth
P J McDonald / Andrew Balding
9/1
- Averages 100% price drift, though on limited recent form.
- Quick turnaround at 14 days against its usual 136.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)
3
Tropbien
Saffie Osborne / John & Thady Gosden
7/2
- Averages 50% price drift, though on limited recent form.
- Back after 105 days, well beyond its usual 22-day gap.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
Not rated: Brittunculi, Ella Beach, Indhaar, Medran — too little recent form to judge.