17:30 Newcastle tips
Novice Stakesclass 46fstandard10 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Great Balls Ofire is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on the size of its price drops.
Novice Stakes over 6f on standard going. Great Balls Ofire rates clear of the rest on our signals. We rate 6 of the 10 declared; the other 4 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Great Balls Ofire
Saffie Osborne / Richard Spencer
3/2
- Averages a 100% price drop, though on limited recent form.
under 2/1: 44.5% win, 68.7% frame (865 tracked)
2
Perfect Gal
P J McDonald / Rebecca Menzies
21/1
- Averages a 23% price drop, though on limited recent form.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
3
Benbecula
Kevin Stott / Kevin Ryan
13/1
- Averages 42% price drift, though on limited recent form.
- Back after 33 days, well beyond its usual 13-day gap.
12/1 to 20/1: 5.0% win, 18.9% frame (893 tracked)
Not rated: Big Richard, Moofeed, Powerful Force, Val De Grey — too little recent form to judge.