16:45 Newcastle tips
Novice Stakesclass 47fstandard10 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Bella Angelina just shades it from Keogie on its standing on published form ratings.
Novice Stakes over 7f on standard going. Bella Angelina and Keogie separate by very little. We rate 5 of the 10 declared; the other 5 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Bella Angelina
P J McDonald / Harry Charlton
15/4
- Averages a 45% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Quick turnaround at 17 days against its usual 60.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Keogie
Sam James / Geoffrey Harker
13/3
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 6% drop.
- Carries 5lb less than last time.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
3
Nip About
Billy Garritty / Tracy Waggott
67/1
- Averages a 86% price drop, though on limited recent form.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
Not rated: All You Can Be, Full Of Magic, Nether Clova, Petula, Savernake — too little recent form to judge.