12:59 Newcastle tips
Maidenclass 42m4½fgood8 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Mhordart just shades it from Spreadsheet Guru on coming back at its right interval.
Maiden over 2m4½f on good going. Mhordart and Spreadsheet Guru separate by very little. We rate 4 of the 8 declared; the other 4 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Mhordart
Peter Kavanagh / Chris Grant
51/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 3, averaging a 43% drop.
- 3 runs here on course without making the frame.
- Quick turnaround at 26 days against its usual 101.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
2
Spreadsheet Guru
Danny McMenamin / Nicky Richards
2.6/1
- Averages a 9% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Back after 341 days, well beyond its usual 115-day gap.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
3
Brace For Landing
Tristan Durrell / Dan Skelton
9/4
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 3, averaging a 28% drop.
- Back after 243 days, well beyond its usual 42-day gap.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
Not rated: Lecanvey Lady, Ludois, Rhythm Of The Rye, Ryes Words — too little recent form to judge.