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15:15 Newcastle tips

Handicap Chaseclass 52m4fgood9 runners
What we lean towardspreferred

Illogical Logic is our pick, though Empty Nest is not far behind. It edges it on the way its price has been shortening.

Handicap Chase over 2m4f on good going. Illogical Logic heads our ratings. We have enough recent form to rate all 9 declared.

How we rate the field

1
Illogical Logic
Joshua Thompson / David Thompson
9/1
  • Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 37% drop.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)
2
Empty Nest
Jamie Hamilton / Mark Walford
3/1
  • Steady 47% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
  • Has won 1 of 3 here on course and going.
  • Quick turnaround at 9 days against its usual 57.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
3
The Paddy Pie
Oscar Palmer / Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith
15/1
  • Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 75% drop.
  • Back after 197 days, well beyond its usual 96-day gap.
12/1 to 20/1: 5.0% win, 18.9% frame (893 tracked)