18:30 Newcastle tips
Other Handicapclass 66fstandard14 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Noelies Dream just shades it from The Tunguska Event on its record over this course and ground.
Other Handicap over 6f on standard going. Noelies Dream and The Tunguska Event separate by very little. We have enough recent form to rate all 14 declared.
How we rate the field
1
Noelies Dream
Andrew Mullen / Dylan Cunha
15/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 52% drop.
12/1 to 20/1: 5.0% win, 18.9% frame (893 tracked)
2
The Tunguska Event
Jason Hart / John & Sean Quinn
11/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 59% drop.
- Has won 1 of 3 here on course and going.
- Back after 93 days, well beyond its usual 24-day gap.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)
3
Blazing Son
Oisin McSweeney / Bryan & Beth Smart
6/1
- Its price has drifted across its last 5, averaging 33% out, though the drift has been easing each run.
- Has won 1 of 4 here on course and going.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)