16:00 Newton Abbot tips
Handicap Hurdleclass 32m1fgood4 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Arctic Voyage just shades it from Ellerton on its standing on published form ratings.
Handicap Hurdle over 2m1f on good going. Arctic Voyage and Ellerton separate by very little. We have enough recent form to rate all 4 declared.
How we rate the field
1
Arctic Voyage
Harry Reed / Michael Blake
3/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 25% drop.
- Has won 2 of 3 here on course and going.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Ellerton
Brendan Powell / Joe Tizzard
5/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 56% drop.
- Has won 1 of 2 here on course and going.
- Quick turnaround at 11 days against its usual 102.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
3
Edelak
Harry Skelton / Dan Skelton
2.1/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 72% drop.
- Back after 50 days, well beyond its usual 14-day gap.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)