15:12 Newton Abbot tips
Novice Hcap Chaseclass 32m5fgood3 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Thickthorn Tom is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on its record over this course and ground.
Novice Hcap Chase over 2m5f on good going. Thickthorn Tom rates clear of the rest on our signals. We have enough recent form to rate all 3 declared.
How we rate the field
1
Thickthorn Tom
Harry Skelton / Dan Skelton
5/2
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 84% drop.
- Has won 2 of 2 here on course.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Its A Breeze
Paddy Hanlon / Paul Nicholls
15/4
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 61% drop.
- 2 runs here on course and going without making the frame.
- Carries 14lb less than last time.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
3
Intosomethinggood
Sam Twiston-Davies / Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
2.4/1
- Price drops have been easing off across its last 5 runs, down to a 49% average.
- Back after 188 days, well beyond its usual 30-day gap.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)