13:21 Newton Abbot tips
Novice Hurdleclass 32m5½fsoft4 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Crystal Orchard just shades it from Vango Can Go on its standing on published form ratings.
Novice Hurdle over 2m5½f on soft going. Crystal Orchard and Vango Can Go separate by very little. We rate 3 of the 4 declared; the other 1 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Crystal Orchard
Brendan Powell / Joe Tizzard
9/2
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 3, averaging a 3% drop.
- Back after 236 days, well beyond its usual 42-day gap.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Vango Can Go
Harry Skelton / Dan Skelton
3/2
- Averages a 82% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Back after 231 days, well beyond its usual 58-day gap.
- Carries 5lb less off a 118lb lower mark.
under 2/1: 44.5% win, 68.7% frame (865 tracked)
3
Jpr Two
Freddie Gingell / Paul Nicholls
15/1
- Averages a 29% price drop, though on limited recent form.
12/1 to 20/1: 5.0% win, 18.9% frame (893 tracked)
Not rated: Sirgreg — too little recent form to judge.