17:05 Southwell tips
Novice Stakesclass 45fstandard6 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Black Orchid is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on coming back at its right interval.
Novice Stakes over 5f on standard going. Black Orchid rates clear of the rest on our signals. We rate 3 of the 6 declared; the other 3 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Black Orchid
Billy Loughnane / Richard & Peter Fahey
1.4/1
- Averages a 32% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Top of the published form ratings in this field of 6 rated.
- Quick turnaround at 18 days against its usual 45.
under 2/1: 44.5% win, 68.7% frame (865 tracked)
2
Miss Veronika
Harry Russell / Brian Ellison
17/1
- Averages a 13% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Rated 2nd of 6 on published form ratings.
- Quick turnaround at 14 days against its usual 158.
12/1 to 20/1: 5.0% win, 18.9% frame (893 tracked)
3
Elyam
Jason Hart / Michael Herrington
13/3
- Averages a 57% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Rated 4th of 6 on published form ratings.
- Back after 740 days, well beyond its usual 17-day gap.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
Not rated: Atomik, Beautiful Rumour, Blue Moon Diamond — too little recent form to judge.