14:35 Southwell tips
Novice Hcap Chaseclass 42mgood6 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Ask A Sainte just shades it from Lady Kara on coming back at its right interval.
Novice Hcap Chase over 2m on good going. Ask A Sainte and Lady Kara separate by very little. We have enough recent form to rate all 6 declared.
How we rate the field
1
Ask A Sainte
Troy Walsh / Olly Murphy
21/1
- Price drops have been easing off across its last 5 runs, down to a 61% average.
- Quick turnaround at 9 days against its usual 28.
- Carries 13lb less than last time.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
2
Lady Kara
Luke Scott / Dr Richard Newland
13/2
- Price drops have been easing off across its last 5 runs, down to a 52% average.
- Quick turnaround at 6 days against its usual 23.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
3
Jamada
Sean Bowen / Olly Murphy
11/2
- Steady 72% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
- Back after 151 days, well beyond its usual 43-day gap.
- Carries 10lb less off a 1lb lower mark.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)