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13:30 Southwell tips

Handicap Chaseclass 43m2fgood5 runners
What we lean towardsopen race

Too close to split with conviction. Golan Loop just shades it from Express Surprise on the way its price has been shortening.

Handicap Chase over 3m2f on good going. Golan Loop and Express Surprise separate by very little. We have enough recent form to rate all 5 declared.

How we rate the field

1
Golan Loop
Caoilin Quinn / Warren Greatrex
6/1
  • Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 56% drop.
  • Back after 226 days, well beyond its usual 66-day gap.
  • Carries 7lb less off a 2lb lower mark.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
2
Express Surprise
Ned Fox / Clive Boultbee-Brooks
6/1
  • Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 61% drop.
  • Back after 203 days, well beyond its usual 32-day gap.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
3
May Call You Back
Mr P W Mullins / W P Mullins
3/1
  • Steady 59% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
  • Back after 223 days, well beyond its usual 35-day gap.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)