15:50 Southwell tips
Handicap Hurdleclass 53m½fgood6 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Luminaries just shades it from Crafty Gael on its standing on published form ratings.
Handicap Hurdle over 3m½f on good going. Luminaries and Crafty Gael separate by very little. We have enough recent form to rate all 6 declared.
How we rate the field
1
Luminaries
Ellis Collier / Ewan Whillans
11/2
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 35% drop.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
2
Crafty Gael
Alice Stevens / Lizzie Quinlan
7/2
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 15% drop.
- Quick turnaround at 7 days against its usual 39.
- Carries 5lb less than last time.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
3
Keep On Cobbling
Will Featherstone / Henry Daly
3/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 75% drop.
- Back after 174 days, well beyond its usual 81-day gap.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)