13:28 Warwick tips
Novice Hurdleclass 42m3fgood6 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Old Clayesmorian just shades it from One Knight on its record over this course and ground.
Novice Hurdle over 2m3f on good going. Old Clayesmorian and One Knight separate by very little. We rate 4 of the 6 declared; the other 2 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Old Clayesmorian
Kielan Woods / Ben Pauling
15/2
- Averages a 84% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Back after 243 days, well beyond its usual 42-day gap.
- Carries 8lb less than last time.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
2
One Knight
Cameron Johnstone-Baker / Emma Lavelle
7/2
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 64% drop.
- Quick turnaround at 17 days against its usual 181.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
3
Trigg
Harry Skelton / Dan Skelton
1.8/1
- Price drops have been easing off across its last 5 runs, down to a 73% average.
- Quick turnaround at 17 days against its usual 79.
under 2/1: 44.5% win, 68.7% frame (865 tracked)
Not rated: Georgie Simmons, Winding Lake — too little recent form to judge.