12:50 Warwick tips
Handicap Hurdleclass 42m3fgood5 runners
What we lean towardspreferred
Seraphic is our pick, though Mariole is not far behind. It edges it on its standing on published form ratings.
Handicap Hurdle over 2m3f on good going. Seraphic heads our ratings. We rate 4 of the 5 declared; the other 1 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Seraphic
Isabelle Ryder / David Killahena & Graeme McPherson
5/2
- Steady 49% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
- Quick turnaround at 14 days against its usual 48.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Mariole
Freddie Mitchell / Nicky Henderson
4/1
- Its price has drifted across its last 4, averaging 12% out, though the drift has been easing each run.
- Quick turnaround at 21 days against its usual 73.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
3
Henrysbrotherjack
Hugh Horgan / Olly Murphy
7/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 32% drop.
- Back after 359 days, well beyond its usual 79-day gap.
- Carries 5lb less off a 1lb lower mark.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
Not rated: Mister Des Places — too little recent form to judge.