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15:22 Warwick tips

Handicap Chaseclass 52mgood6 runners
What we lean towardsopen race

Too close to split with conviction. Mary just shades it from Tropical Talent on its record over this course and ground.

Handicap Chase over 2m on good going. Mary and Tropical Talent separate by very little. We have enough recent form to rate all 6 declared.

How we rate the field

1
Mary
Charlie Todd / Ian Williams
2.9/1
  • Steady 46% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Tropical Talent
Jack Tudor / Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
9/2
  • Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 14% drop.
  • Quick turnaround at 8 days against its usual 109.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
3
Alba Crus
Sam Twiston-Davies / Warren Greatrex
7/2
  • Price drops have been easing off across its last 5 runs, down to a 77% average.
  • Back after 173 days, well beyond its usual 70-day gap.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)