12:35 Wetherby tips
Novice Hurdleclass 32mgood6 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Minella Hollow just shades it from Venezuelan on its standing on published form ratings.
Novice Hurdle over 2m on good going. Minella Hollow and Venezuelan separate by very little. We rate 3 of the 6 declared; the other 3 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Minella Hollow
Harry Skelton / John J Nallen
1.6/1
- Price drops have been easing off across its last 5 runs, down to a 41% average.
- Quick turnaround at 28 days against its usual 75.
under 2/1: 44.5% win, 68.7% frame (865 tracked)
2
Venezuelan
Sean Bowen / Gary Hanmer
6/1
- Steady 29% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
3
Some Good Men Gone
Conor O´Farrell / Jessica Bedi
41/1
- Its price has drifted across its last 5 and the drift has been widening, averaging 11% out.
- Back after 189 days, well beyond its usual 57-day gap.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
Not rated: Loopy Mag, Measure Of A Man, St Michaels Well — too little recent form to judge.