16:45 Windsor tips
Novice Stakesclass 31m2fgood8 runners
What we lean towardsclear pick
Aura Champagne is our standout. It rates well clear of the rest, mainly on the size of its price drops.
Novice Stakes over 1m2f on good going. Aura Champagne rates clear of the rest on our signals. We rate 4 of the 8 declared; the other 4 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Aura Champagne
Pat Dobbs / Richard Hannon
13/2
- Averages a 55% price drop, though on limited recent form.
- Quick turnaround at 35 days against its usual 159.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
2
Stopherandgo
Kieren Fox / David Flood
201/1
- Steady 22% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
- Quick turnaround at 17 days against its usual 49.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
3
Astrid
Robert Havlin / James Horton
21/1
- Averages 66% price drift, though on limited recent form.
- Quick turnaround at 20 days against its usual 120.
20/1 to 50/1: 2.0% win, -43% return over 1,150 tracked. Our weakest band.
Not rated: Saaffya, Sister Cecilia, Without Prejudice, Yamnah — too little recent form to judge.