18:06 Worcester tips
Novice Hurdleclass 42mgood12 runners
What we lean towardspreferred
Nala The Lioness is our pick, though Galeforcechopper is not far behind. It edges it on its record over this course and ground.
Novice Hurdle over 2m on good going. Nala The Lioness heads our ratings. We rate 9 of the 12 declared; the other 3 lack enough recent form for us to judge.
How we rate the field
1
Nala The Lioness
Nick Slatter / David Killahena & Graeme McPherson
17/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 35% drop.
- Rated 5th of 12 on published form ratings.
12/1 to 20/1: 5.0% win, 18.9% frame (893 tracked)
2
Galeforcechopper
Liam Harrison / David Brace
67/1
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 3, averaging a 39% drop.
- Rated 7th of 12 on published form ratings.
- 2 runs here on course and going without making the frame.
- Quick turnaround at 44 days against its usual 124.
50/1 and above: 0.7% win, -58% return over 959 tracked. Our weakest band.
3
Steal A Glance
Sam Twiston-Davies / Anthony Honeyball
11/2
- Steady 30% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
- Rated 3rd of 12 on published form ratings.
- Quick turnaround at 10 days against its usual 36.
5/1 to 8/1: 12.7% win, 29.5% frame (684 tracked)
Not rated: Jury Roses, Morissette, Sky Blue Ribbon — too little recent form to judge.