13:40 Worcester tips
Novice Hcap Chaseclass 52m7fgood6 runners
What we lean towardsopen race
Too close to split with conviction. Jo Arengeot Bey Aa just shades it from Izzys Grey on the size of its price drops.
Novice Hcap Chase over 2m7f on good going. Jo Arengeot Bey Aa and Izzys Grey separate by very little. We have enough recent form to rate all 6 declared.
How we rate the field
1
Jo Arengeot Bey Aa
Gavin Sheehan / Donald McCain
11/4
- Steady 55% average price drop over its last 5 runs.
- Quick turnaround at 13 days against its usual 36.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
2
Izzys Grey
Lee Edwards / Belinda Clarke
9/2
- Its price has been shortening harder each run across its last 5, averaging a 21% drop.
2/1 to 5/1: 21.0% win, 40.2% frame (739 tracked)
3
Broadway Honey
Sam Twiston-Davies / Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
11/1
- Its price has drifted across its last 5, averaging 5% out, though the drift has been easing each run.
- Back after 99 days, well beyond its usual 43-day gap.
8/1 to 12/1: 8.0% win, 26.8% frame (709 tracked)